Striking Iran would shoot up oil prices to 400 dollars
“During last year’s evaluations of various theoretical outcomes, we reached the conclusion that in the event of an oil sales embargo on Iran the price of oil would reach 110 dollars and in the case of a military attack on Iran its price would reach 400 dollars (a barrel). Therefore, knowing the West’s strategic knowledge of this matter, the oil sanction and military attack options against Iran are just a bluff.”
So says Brigadier General Hassan Abbasi of Greater Persia.
What do I think about this? I think he is absolutely correct. And those prices may be a best case scenario, describing a world where the currencies haven't collapsed.
After all, taking out oil infrastructure is the easiest damn thing in the world. Even hurricanes are getting in on the action! Nigerian rebels are thumbing their noses at the western world! Iran is well situated to bonk Kuwait and Saudi in the refineries. They are, after all, allies of the U.S.
Iran has no more chance of winning a conventional battle against the U.S. military than Iraq. But they have enough supersonic Russian made Sunburn cruise missiles to drop a carrier group, or more likely, blockade the Gulf. (No oil freighters out.)
So, for as long as reason and logic prevail, no one will poke a stick into Iran.