carbon spring
Ah yes, another beautiful February in the Pacific Northwest. The weather is balmy, the palm trees swaying, and the bears are awakening from their brief respite. I keep hearing talk of "climate change" but there is none visible from my window - just another sunny day, same as Seattle has been for as long as anyone can remember.
Imagine if I lived in rainy old California.
posted by JMS @ 12:21 AM
3 comments
3 Comments:
About weather in particular the word average is used frequently. Average temps, average rainfall, seasonal average, annual average; Averages are more meaningful when taken over long periods of time. (A snapshot does not a portrait make.)
In my youth, born 1944, the fathers and grandfathers of the current crop of prognosticators were predicting a new ice age. When a person writes a computer program to predict the future, the program will predict the future that the programer wants it to.
I think the predictions of an imminent "ice age" in the 1970's were more the rantings of a few fringe dwellers rather than scientific concensus - have a read of these for some details:
http://www.answers.com/topic/global-cooling
http://www.aip.org/history/climate/cycles.htm
You both bring up a good point - useless experts.
Since I am not a oil geologist or economist, much less a climate scientist, I work really hard to identify those people who prognosticate successfully.
There are such people.
Then I parrot what they say. ;)
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